U.S. President Trump's May 8 announcement of a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, effective May 9-11 to mark Victory Day and including a 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap confirmed by Putin and Zelenskyy, has driven trader consensus to 100% "Yes" on a qualifying halt in military engagement by June 30. This mutually agreed pause amid frontline stalemate and intensified trilateral talks following February's U.S.-set June deadline satisfies Polymarket's criteria for an official ceasefireβpublicly announced general pause excluding limited humanitarian actionsβlocking in resolution well ahead of expiration. While mutual accusations of violations persist, credible media consensus affirms the agreement; rare shifts could arise from reinterpretation disputes or total breakdown before June 30.
π ΠΠ° Polymarket Π²ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ²ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°ΡΡΡΠΈΡΠ°Π»ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ ΠΈΡΡ ΠΎΠ΄ ΠΏΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠ°ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΎΠ³Π½Ρ ΠΌΠ΅ΠΆΠ΄Ρ Π ΠΎΡΡΠΈΠ΅ΠΉ ΠΈ Π£ΠΊΡΠ°ΠΈΠ½ΠΎΠΉ β ΠΈΡΡΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊ
3Β Π΄Π½ΡΒ Π½Π°Π·Π°Π΄3Β Π΄Π½ΡΒ Π½Π°Π·Π°Π΄
~1 ΠΌΠΈΠ½